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Q 16.

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The Practice of Statistics for AP Examination
Found in: Page 718
The Practice of Statistics for AP Examination

The Practice of Statistics for AP Examination

Book edition 6th
Author(s) Daren Starnes, Josh Tabor
Pages 837 pages
ISBN 9781319113339

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Short Answer

Spinning heads? When a fair coin is flipped, we all know that the probability the coin lands on heads is 0.50 However, what if a coin is spun? According to the article “Euro Coin Accused of Unfair Flipping” in the New Scientist, two Polish math professors and their students spun a Belgian euro coin 250 times. It landed heads 140 times. One of the professors concluded that the coin was minted asymmetrically. A representative from the Belgian mint indicated the result was just chance. Assume that the conditions for inference are met.

a. Carry out a chi-square test for goodness of fit to test if heads and tails are equally likely when a euro coin is spun.

b. In Chapter 9 Exercise 50 you analyzed these data with a one-sample z test for a proportion. The hypotheses were H0: p=0.5 and Ha: p0.5

where p = the true proportion of heads. Calculate the z statistic and P-value for this test. How do these values compare to the values from part (a)?

Part (a) When a euro coin is spun, there is no persuasive evidence that heads and tails are not equally likely.

Part (b) When a euro coin is spun, there is no persuasive evidence that heads and tails are not equally likely.

See the step by step solution

Step by Step Solution

 Part (a) Step 1: Given information

Sample size = n = 25

Level of significance =α= 0.05

Part (a) Step 2: Concept

Test statistic: χ 2=Σ (O E)2E

Part (a) Step 3: Calculation

The null and alternative hypotheses:

H0 : p1 = p2 =12 = 0.5 Ha : At least one of the pis is incorrect.

Expected values can be found as,

E1 = np1 = 250 × 0.5 = 125 E2 = np2 = 250 × 0.5 = 125

Therefore, test statistic is,

χ2=(140125)2 125+ (110125)2125= 3.6

P-value using excel formula, =CHIDIST(3.6,1)

P-value = 0.0578

Decision: P-value > 0.05, fail to reject H0

When a euro coin is spun, there is no persuasive evidence that heads and tails are not equally likely.

Part (b) Step 1: Calculation

The null and alternative hypotheses:

H0 : p = 0.5 Ha : p 0.5

Using excel,

Decision: P-value > 0.05, fail to reject H0

When a euro coin is spun, there is no persuasive evidence that heads and tails are not equally likely.

Here, z2= (1.90)2=3.6=χ2

Also, P-value is same for both tests.

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