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Q. 10.16

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A First Course in Probability
Found in: Page 431
A First Course in Probability

A First Course in Probability

Book edition 9th
Author(s) Sheldon M. Ross
Pages 432 pages
ISBN 9780321794772

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Short Answer

Let X be a random variable on (0, 1) whose density is f(x). Show that we can estimate # 1 0 g(x) dx by simulating X and then taking g(X)/f(X) as our estimate. This method, called importance sampling, tries to choose f similar in shape to g, so that g(X)/f(X) has a small variance.

The required statement is proved below.

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Step by Step Solution

Step 1: Given Information

We need to prove the statement.

Step 2: Explanation

Considerg(X)f(X) is a random variable, as the function of a random variable X. Using the theorem regarding the expectation of the function of the random variable, we have

Eg(X)f(X)=01g(x)f(x)·f(x)dx=01g(x)dx

Since, we have the expected value of g(X)f(X) is equal to the required value 01g(x)dx, we have that it is a good estimater of g(x)f(x). In statistics, these estimators that have the mean equal to the estimated value are called unbiased estimators.

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